Land Use Simulation for Europe Contents

List of Figures	xii
Land Use Simulation for Europe: Contents
List of Tables	xvi
1: A Framework for European Land Use Simulation John Stillwell and Henk Scholten	1
1.1: Introduction	1
1.2: The conceptual framework	2
1.3: Structure and content	5
Part I: Policy Perspectives, Driving Forces and Data Considerations
2 The European Spatial Development Perspective: Process, Policies and Consensus Peter Ungar	15
2.1: Introduction	15
2.2: The evolution of the European Spatial Development Perspective	15
2.3: The need for co-operation on spatial development at the EU scale	18
2.4: The ESDP action programme	18
2.5: Co-operation in European spatial development: a matter of consent	20
2.6: Conclusion	22
3: European Spatial Planning: National and Regional Perspectives Hans ten Velden and John Stillwell	25
3.1: Introduction	25
3.2: The need for European spatial planning	25
3.3: The European Spatial Development Perspective	28
3.4: Information and analysis imperative	29
3.5: Impacts of the ESDP at national and regional levels	30
3.6: Conclusion	35
4: Agriculture, Forestry and Nature:Trends and Developments Across Europe Arnold Bregt and Kees de Zeeuw	37
4.1: Introduction	37
4.2: Land use in Europe	37
4.3: Trends in agriculture, forestry and nature	37
4.4: Influence of trends on the spatial environment	40
4.5: From trends to data and tools	41
4.6: Conclusions	43
5: The Projection of Population, Households, Housing and Residential Land Use John Stillwell and James Debenham	45
5.1: Introduction	45
5.2: Population projections for EU regions	46
5.3: National and sub-national population projections in the UK	52
5.4: National and sub-national household projections	56
5.5: Regional projections of housing and residential land requirements	59
5.6: Conclusions	61
6: The Land Market: A Spatial Economic Perspective Joost Buurman, Piet Rietveld and Henk Scholten	65
6.1: Introduction	65
6.2: The land market	66
6.3: The spatial land market	74
6.4: Operational models	78
6.5: Conclusions	81
7: The Role of Remote Sensing Techniques for European Land Use Database Construction Henk Kramer and Sander Mücher	83
7.1: Introduction	83
7.2: A selection of important satellite sensors	83
7.3: Available European land cover databases	92
7.4: Land use database construction	95
7.5: Conclusions	97
8: Towards a European Spatial Metadata Infrastructure to Facilitate Land Use Planning Joana Abreu and Henk Scholten	101
8.1: Introduction	101
8.2: The requirements of a spatial data information infrastructure	102
8.3: The problems to access geographic information in Europe	103
8.4: Existing geographic information infrastructures	104
8.5: Towards the European Spatial Metadata Infrastructure	106
8.6: Providing direct access to the data via Web mapping	108
8.7: Conclusions	110
Part II: Modelling Environmental and Human Systems
9: Land Cover Information for European Environmental Modelling Jean-Paul Hettelingh, Maximilian Posch and Peter de Smet	115
9.1: Introduction	115
9.2: Modelling the European environment	116
9.3: The support of European acidification policies	117
9.4: The computation of critical loads and levels	118
9.5: Scientific collaboration for the mapping of critical loads and levels in Europe	123
9.6: Conclusions and recommendations	124
10: Forecasting Global Climatic Change Impacts on Mediterranean Agricultural Land Use in the Twenty First Century Stan Openshaw and Andy Turner	127
10.1: Background and context	127
10.2: Building a Synoptic Prediction System	128
10.3: Assembling the data	130
10.4: Agricultural land use modelling	135
10.5: Translating agricultural land use changes into land degradation terms	137
10.6: Conclusions	139
11: Demography, Economy and Urbanization: A Demo-Economic Regional Simulation Model Leo van Wissen and Corina Huisman	143
11.1: Introduction	143
11.2: Structure of the model	143
11.3: Demographic module	145
11.4: Labour supply	148
11.5: The economic module and labour demand	148
11.6: Urban land use	150
11.7: A number of illustrative outcomes of Decores	151
11.8: Conclusions	156
12: Interregional Migration and Land Use Pressure Beatrice Eiselt, Nicla Giglioli and Robert Peckham	159
12.1: Introduction	159
12.2: Data and software	159
12.3: Cluster analysis	160
12.4: Migration modelling	163
12.5: Forecasting and simulation	165
12.6: Application to simulation of land use pressure	166
12.7: Conclusions	168
Part III: Evaluation and Visualisation Methods
13: Towards a Sustainable Future of Cities in Europe: An Evaluation of Sustainable City Initiatives Using Multicriteria Decision Support Methods Adele Finco and Peter Nijkamp	173
13.1: Setting the scene	173
13.2: Planning for urban sustainability	175
13.3: Decision support methods for urban sustainability policy	178
13.4: The case study area	181
13.5: Multi-criteria analysis for the Local Plan of Cremona	182
13.6: MCA results	185
13.7: Conclusions	189
14: A Methodology for the Analysis of Spatial Conflicts in Transport Policies: Overview and Applications Euro Beinat	193
14.1: Introduction	193
14.2: Methodology framework	195
14.3: Inside the methodology	197
14.4: Applications	203
14.5: Conclusions	208
15: Virtual Reality and the Simulation of Europe's Land Use in the Twenty First Century António Câmara	211
15.1: Introduction	211
15.2: Virtual reality methods and the visualisation of terrains	212
15.3: Coupling simulation models to virtual environments	220
15.4: Visualisation of Europe's land use simulation model	223
15.5: Conclusions	228
Part IV: The Development of a European Land Use Simulation System
16: EuroScanner: A Simulation Model for Land Use Change in Europe Piet Rietveld, Henk Scholten and John Stillwell	235
16.1: Introduction	235
16.2: Approaches to modelling land use	235
16.3: System structure and model features	236
16.4: Land use data, regional constraints, suitability maps and government policy interventions	238
16.5: Mathematical formulation of the model	239
16.6: Extensions to the doubly constrained land use model	242
16.7: Conclusions	243
17: A National Planning Application of EuroScanner in the Netherlands Kees Schotten and Camiel Heunks	245
17.1: Introduction	245
17.2: Planning background and scenario development	245
17.3: Simulation of residential areas	247
17.4: Integrated land use map	252
17.5: Environmental impact assessment	252
17.6 : Conclusions	254
18: A Regional Planning Application of EuroScanner in Portugal Alfred Wagtendonk, Rui Pedro Julião and Kees Schotten	257
18.1: Introduction	257
18.2: Lisbon and the Tagus Valley	258
18.3: Urban and regional plans	265
18.4: Land use classification of Landsat images between 1984 and 1998	269
18.5: Identification of driving forces	271
18.6: Operationalisation of driving forces	276
18.7: Statistical analysis land use changes between 1984 and 1998	277
18.8: Simulations with EuroScanner	282
18.9: Results of simulations	285
18.10: Conclusions	289
Subject Index	293
[Index]

Land Use Simulation for Europe: Contents